Changing Planet

Big Data Arrives on a Small Lake in Vermont

Photo: Blue-green algae bloom on Shelburne Pond. Credit: Lisa Borre.
A blue-green algae bloom on Shelburne Pond in late July. (Photo by Lisa Borre.)

While visiting Vermont in late July, I took a day to catch up with colleagues who are studying lakes. University of Vermont (UVM) Rubenstein Ecosystem Science Laboratory director Jason Stockwell arranged for me to go out on a sampling run with two interns. Our destination was Shelburne Pond, a shallow lake located about ten miles south of Burlington. The hyper-eutrophic lake was the subject of my undergraduate thesis research, “Internal Sources of Phosphorus in Shelburne Pond, Vermont.” I was interested to learn about the latest round of research there and invited college friends Jennifer Curtin and Sara Thompson to join me for the outing.

A large frontal system had moved through the day before, leaving behind a quintessential Vermont summer day: clear skies with air temperatures in the 70s. Puffy white clouds floated by. It was not unlike the day I arrived in 1985 as a geology student to collect samples and discovered that a massive fish kill had occurred the night before.

A Tipping Point: Massive Fish Kill in the mid-1980s

On that day over a quarter century ago, thousands of fish were floating belly-up, perch, walleye and northern pike alike. A few were gasping for breath at the surface. The event had occurred so recently that the stench of rotting carcasses had yet to develop on that late summer morning. It smelled more like a busy, outdoor fish market than an idyllic natural lake. I suited up in my wetsuit and scuba tank, and with dead fish swirling all around me, plunged to the murky depths. My advisor Jack Drake reminded me that it would be an important data point, so in I went.

Photo: Fish kill on Shelburne Pond, VT in 1985. Photo: L. Borre
The author collected water samples from Shelburne Pond on the same day as the 1985 fish kill. (Photo: courtesy of Lisa Borre.)

Shortly after arriving at the boat launch this summer, a fisherman arrived to launch his boat. With the help of Jennifer, an environmental lawyer, we soon realized that he and I had stood together on this same shore nearly 30 years earlier. He, too, had been on Shelburne Pond the day of that fish kill.

Jon Kruger, an outdoorsy 68-year-old who lives in Milton, has been fishing on the lake since he was eleven years old, he told me. When he was a boy, he could rent a rowboat from a vendor on the lake and go out fishing just miles from his home. He caught a lot of pumpkin seeds, a common sunfish. “In the 1960s and 1970s, the lake was a premier walleye fishery,” he said. “It was good up until the big fish kill in 1985.”

We reminisced about the causes of the fish kill. He reminded me of the allegations about a now defunct cheese factory dumping whey in a stream flowing into the lake. I recounted how, after a period of warm weather and calm winds, the massive algae bloom died off suddenly when a cold front passed through. The process of decomposition consumed the dissolved oxygen fish need to breath.

Photo: Jon Kruger on Shelburne Pond. Credit: Lisa Borre.
Jon Kruger has been fishing on Shelburne Pond since he was 11 years old. (Photo by Lisa Borre.)

The Vermont Fish and Wildlife Department tried to restock the walleye, but the fishery never recovered, Kruger told me. “I’ve caught only one walleye from the lake since then,” he said. Smaller fish kills have returned in recent years, the most significant occurring in 2009, but nothing on the scale of the event in the 1980s.

Scientists refer to these dramatic changes as “regime shifts,” when an ecosystem reaches a threshold or tipping point beyond which it is forever changed. With climate change already upon us, including greater climate variability, this is a subject of great interest for ecologists.

New Era of Lake Research Begins: Big Data and Global Collaboration

Lab director Stockwell is leading a new research program on Shelburne Pond to study just this sort of phenomena. He was inspired to bring a “smart” data buoy into the mix after we attended a meeting of the Global Lake Ecological Observatory Network (GLEON) in Argentina last year. He secured funding and contracted with Greensea Systems to design and construct a buoy with automated sensors using an “open source” approach. The buoy was deployed for testing in the fall and should be fully operational next year.

Photo: lake data buoy deployment on Shelburne Pond. Credit: UVM.
UVM researchers deployed a “smart” lake data buoy for testing on Shelburne Pond in November 2014. The solar panels power the research equipment, which measures and records air temperature, wind speed, water temperature, pH, dissolved oxygen and other parameters every 15 minutes. (Photo: courtesy of UVM Rubenstein Ecosystem Science Laboratory.)

I asked Stockwell, who is also busy directing a research program on Lake Champlain, why he chose Shelburne Pond. “Getting classes and student researchers out on Champlain is expensive and involves more weather considerations. Shelburne Pond is close to campus and inexpensive to sample, relatively speaking. It’s also a UVM Natural Area, and we’ve been looking for ways to make better use of these areas,” he said.

Lakes are dynamic and constantly changing ecosystems. The approach that I used as a student of sampling every week or two is no longer enough. This is where automated sensors mounted on a buoy can make a difference. By collecting data on multiple parameters every 15 minutes, the sensors provide high frequency data. When combined with a field sampling program, this allows Stockwell and his students to better understand environmental changes in the lake.

It helps that the lake is well studied, Stockwell told me. Some of the earlier research, including mine, provides context for the current “big data” approach. In addition to past studies, researchers will be able to compare their results with those from Mississquoi Bay on Lake Champlain. Although larger than Shelburne Pond, the bay shares similar characteristics, and the Research on Adaption to Climate Change (RACC) project is conducting similar studies. And because the research project is linked in with GLEON, Stockwell’s team will also be able to compare their data with other lakes around the world and collaborate on global studies already underway.

Photo: winter sampling on Shelburne Pond. Credit: UVM.
“Spring Blitz” sampling on Shelburne Pond began before the ice melted off the lake. (Photo: courtesy of UVM Rubenstein Ecosystem Science Laboratory.)

One of those studies is called “Spring Blitz” and another is called “Storm Blitz.” GLEON scientists are researching what happens to phytoplankton diversity during periods of dynamic change, including after ice-out, when lake ice melts in spring, and after major storm events. Stockwell and his students began sampling the lake through the ice and continued twice a week late into the spring and weekly throughout the summer and fall. Shelburne Pond was one of two lakes participating in the study this year. The other lake was in Ontario, adding to the ten lakes that participated in the global study in 2013.

Harmful Algae Blooms Becoming More Common

On the day we visited Shelburne Pond last summer, my friends and I were in vacation mode, but they were up for any activity that would get us out on the water. I tried to warn them off with tales of fish kills and toxic algae blooms, but to no avail. When we arrived at the lake, the water near shore was bright green with slimy globs floating in it – a sure sign that a blue-green algae bloom was underway. Before I could dissuade them, they had climbed aboard the university’s red, rigid inflatable boat.

Photo: Sampling excursion on Shelburne Pond. Credit: Lisa Borre.
UVM junior Brad Roy led a sampling excursion on Shelburne Pond. (Photo by Lisa Borre.)

Blue-green algae are actually a type of cyanobacteria, microscopic organisms that are one of the earliest life forms found on Earth. Because cyanobacteria can produce toxins, they are sometimes referred to as “toxic algae,” but this is also somewhat of a misnomer because they themselves are not toxic nor do they produce toxins at all times. Cyanobacteria are not all bad either. Because they can fix nitrogen and produce oxygen, they are responsible for creating the air we breath.

UVM junior Brad Roy led our excursion, carefully issuing instructions on safety procedures and insisting that we wear the fluorescent yellow life jackets. Tall, clean-cut and wearing the requisite baseball cap and rubber boots of a field scientist, he is a Vermonter from Waterbury and the first generation in his family to attend college. Brad displayed an enthusiasm for environmental research that was more like the graduate students I know. It took me two years to declare a major in college, but he has known that he wanted to study fisheries biology at UVM since doing an independent study with the Vermont Fish and Wildlife Department as a high school student. That’s pretty specific for a guy who had never visited the campus, just over 30 minutes from his childhood home, until enrolling as a student.

Photo: Brad Roy with Secchi disk. Credit: Lisa Borre.
Brad Roy explains how to make a water transparency measurement using a Secchi disk. (Photo by Lisa Borre.)

Némesis Ortiz Declet, a Vermont EPSCOR intern and senior at the University of Puerto Rico, was the other field assistant that day. Quieter but equally serious about her research, she was outfitted the same as Roy, minus the baseball cap. She was collecting data for a study of blue-green algae in Shelburne Pond and Missisquoi Bay. Although the algae blooms had been very active in Shelburne Pond, they had yet to appear in Missisquoi Bay this summer, she told us. “It was bright green when we got here on June 17,” she said. “The surface water temperature has been warmer here than in Missisquoi Bay, so that might be a factor. Another factor is that Missisquoi Bay hasn’t stratified yet this summer, but Shelburne Pond has exhibited weak stratification.”

This is what Shelburne Pond looked like on 17 June 2014. (Photo by Némesis A. Ortiz Declet.)

Lake stratification occurs in warmer months when water forms layers, with warmer surface water on top of cooler, denser water at depth. Stratification affects the physical, chemical and biological characteristics of lakes. With climate warming trends, there is concern about the length of the stratification season becoming longer, creating better growing conditions for the types of harmful algae found in both bodies of water.

It turns out that Missisquoi Bay didn’t escape the blue-green algae blooms, which began in August and continued into September, Stockwell told me. I visited the bay in early November and saw the decaying remnants of algae on the rocky shore.

Photo: Missisquoi Bay harmful algae bloom remnants. Credit: Lisa Borre.
Missisquoi Bay on Lake Champlain also suffers from harmful algae blooms. The remnants of summer blooms are pictured in this photo taken in November 2014. (Photo by Lisa Borre.)

Out on Shelburne Pond, Ortiz Declet lowered the sonde, a device that contains sensors for simultaneously measuring multiple water quality parameters. It confirmed the presence of blue-green algae, but details about the amounts, specific types and toxin production would require follow-up laboratory analysis. We then used a plankton net to collect samples of microorganisms and a small pump to gather water samples at different depths. We downloaded data from the temperature logger, which is collected from a set of digital thermometers, known as a thermistor chain, suspended between a float on the surface and an 80-pound (36 kilograms) anchor at a water depth of about 15 feet (4.5 meters), the average depth of the lake. We used a Secchi disk, a black and white disk on a string, to measure water transparency. Of the equipment we used that day, only the Secchi disk was the same as I used as a student.

While sampling, we talked about their observations of the algae blooms. On a visit earlier in the summer, they smelled chemical fertilizer, Ortiz Declet recalled. “This was followed by a big storm with lots of rain and then a couple of calm, hot days, causing a giant scum of algae to form on the lake’s surface,” she said. Roy added, “I grew up in rural Vermont and know what fertilizer smells like.” Although based only on anecdotal evidence, they both wondered aloud about the possible connections. They are not the only ones asking this important question.

Photo: Sonde on Shelburne Pond. Credit: Lisa Borre.
Némesis Ortiz Declet shows the sensors inside a sonde, a device that measures multiple water quality parameters. (Photo by Lisa Borre.)

After helping to collect samples, my friends got distracted with wildlife sightings. Two bald eagles soared overhead. Double crested cormorants flew past, and a flock of Canada geese landed in one of the two large wetlands on the northern shore. We convinced Brad to make a quick side trip to get a closer look. The wetland was teeming with water-loving birds, including a great egret and three great blue herons. It was not difficult to appreciate why the university designated the lake and wetlands as a natural area.

As we motored back to the boat launch, Roy talked about his impressions of Shelburne Pond and the research there. “I had never been here before starting this project. I find the dynamism of the system intriguing. It’s always changing. There is great variability from one week to the next,” he said. “As far as the research goes, I feel like we’re at the cusp of using this technology for new and different kinds of research and data collection. It’s exciting to be a part of that.”

Shelburne Pond played an important role at the beginning of my career, so I couldn’t help but smile while thinking about the next generation of lake scientists and advocates that might emerge from studying this lake and others like it.

Photo: Collecting a phytoplankton sample on Shelburne Pond, VT. Credit: Lisa Borre.
The author’s friend Jennifer Curtin, an environmental lawyer, assists Brad Roy with collecting a plankton sample. (Photo by Lisa Borre.)

Agricultural run-off. Harmful algae. Fish kills. Tipping Points. Climate warming. Extreme weather. These are common themes on lakes around the world. A week after our excursion on Shelburne Pond, news broke about the Toledo water crisis. Jennifer sent me a message soon after. I could tell that she, too, had a new appreciation for how widespread the problem of harmful algae blooms has become and how relevant this type of research is.

I noticed that one of the first actions in response to finding harmful algae in Toledo’s water supply was to install a data buoy near the water intake in Lake Erie. Smart move. Whether for early detection of impaired water bodies, like Lake Erie, or for gaining a more in-depth understanding of the dynamics of aquatic ecosystems where these blooms occur, like Shelburne Pond and Lake Champlain, collecting high frequency data is essential.

When combined with more traditional approaches to lake science, as well as collaboration globally, this new era of research holds great promise for providing information to help address both ongoing and new lake management challenges. “It’s also a great opportunity for undergraduates to receive training in big data and to develop skills in concert with technological advances,” Stockwell said.

Lisa Borre is a lake conservationist, freelance writer and avid sailor. With her husband, she co-founded LakeNet, a world lakes network, and co-wrote a sailing guide called “The Black Sea” based on their voyage there in 2010. A native of the Great Lakes region, she served as coordinator of the Lake Champlain Basin Program in the 1990s. She is now an active member of the Global Lake Ecological Observatory Network.

Lisa Borre is a lake conservationist, writer and avid sailor. A native of the Great Lakes region, she served as coordinator of the Lake Champlain Basin Program in the 1990s and co-founded LakeNet, a world lakes network that was active from 1998-2008. She is now a Senior Research Specialist at the Cary Institute of Ecosystem Studies and an active member of the Global Lake Ecological Observatory Network (GLEON). She is also on the board of directors of the North American Lake Management Society (NALMS), the advisory council of the Lake Champlain Committee, and an associate investigator with the SAFER Project: Sensing the Americas' Freshwater Ecosystem Risk from Climate Change. She writes about global lake topics for this blog and speaks to local, regional and international groups about the impacts of climate change on lakes and the need to work together to sustainably manage lakes and their watersheds. With her husband, she co-wrote The Black Sea, a sailing guide based on their voyage there in 2010.
  • Betsy

    While scientists play the major role in studying lakes, it is important that you have included the insights of fisherman Jon Kruger. The combination of voices provides the most complete information. Kudos ! I enjoyed the article and photos.

    • Thanks, Betsy. I agree that Jon’s insights are important, too. There’s nothing like having “eyes on the lake” in addition to the high-tech automated sensors.

  • mary lou baker

    great stuff! informative, well-written and beautifully illustrated with the author’s photo. the human interest element is strong and the information valuable.

    • Thanks, Mary Lou! This one is already being tagged as a #longread on Twitter, so I was hoping the photos would help. The one by Némesis of the duck family is my personal favorite.

  • Leslie Johnson

    Yes indeed! The combination of voices certainly resonates with all of us at PROJECT: ICE! Well done!

    • Thanks, Leslie. Your comment means a lot coming from the Project: Ice team. Your Great Lakes documentary is a real inspiration for me!

  • Tyler

    As a UVM student, avid fisherman, hiker, and one who canoes often, I love seeing such an in-depth look at the research my peers are conducting at one of my favorite places in the state.

    I especially appreciate the variety of viewpoints from researchers and recreational users alike.

    • Thanks for reading and commenting, Tyler!

  • Beverley Wemple

    Great article and great to see the program on Shelburne Pond up and running and getting some great press! Great article Lisa!!

    • Thanks, Beverley, for your role in making this new research program happen!

  • Katharine Stockman

    Thank you for this very informative article. As neighbors, directly across Pond Road from Shelburne Pond, we watch the activity on and climate of the pond constantly. It is good to be aware of just what is going on there and the efforts to understand the implications of 3 active dairy farms directly abutting the pond with c. 250 milking cows and 50 – 80 beef cattle, all on lands directly draining into the pond.

    • Katharine, Thanks for adding to the discussion with your comments and observations.

  • Jeff Kapsalis

    Thanks for this report Lisa, I look forward to more results of the testing. I grew up 1/4 mile walk to the pond and fished and hunted on and around it every week (often daily) until I went to College at UVM. I was present and devastated by the fish kill in the 80’s. I moved to Colorado for 10 yrs but returned in 2000 and was fortunate to buy a home near the northern end of the pond (witnessed recent fish kill as well). As of the last few years, I have begun fishing on the pond with my young son every Friday evening in the warmer months and could not appreciate it more. We once arrived at the Pond to find a few UVM students in waders who were tasked to take water samples at each corner of the “pond” thinking they were going to walk around it in an hour or so 🙂 . We offered them a ride in our boat and one of them asked for my e-mail and said he would try and send us study results when they had them. I never received any, which is another reason I was happy to see your report. A few ironies I cannot get over every time I pull in the pond access road. On the left is a home which has an obvious mounded septic system (required by the state to control waste pollution because of the clay soils in the area). Yet on the right is a 50 acre plot along the shoreline, all of which drains directly to the pond, owned by The Nature Conservancy no less. The land is leased (I assume) to a farm and 2 or 3 times a year gets a 2 inch thick layer of manure spread across all 50 acres, muddy, frozen ground, any time, year after year. All this waste runoff with no where to go but straight into the pond. Heart breaking but permitted somehow. Yet the adjacent homeowner could get severely penalized if their 4 bedroom septic system was not specifically engineered and permitted to control waste pollution. I hope studies like the this one you covered helps with the details of what seems so obvious. Sorry for my long winded story/statement but thank you for the opportunity to express my concern.

    • Jeff, thanks for reading and responding with your personal story and observations. Sadly, the issues you raise are not uncommon in Vermont, the Lake Champlain basin, and watersheds across the country. We are finding impaired water quality in so many of our favorite lakes, rivers and bays. I share your hope that studies like this one will also inform and motivate actions to address some of the the nagging problems on the Shelburne Ponds, Missisquoi Bays and Lake Eries of the world. I will also share your comments and email address with the researchers at UVM.

  • Buzz Hoerr

    Nicely written and very informative. Unfortunately the ponds and smaller lakes in the Champlain Basin are showing increasing levels of stress, most notably Lake Carmi up north, which had severe blooms this past summer.

    • Thanks, Buzz. And yes, it’s unfortunate to see how many lakes in your area and around the world seem to be suffering in similar ways to Shelburne Pond and Lake Carmi.

  • Tracey Shadday

    Thanks for an enjoyable and informative read. Federation of Vermont Lakes and Ponds (FOVLAP) will be posting it for others on their Facebook Page “Vermont Lakes”:

    • Thanks for sharing and for all you do on behalf of Vermont lakes and ponds!

  • Annoying Editor-type

    While the wetland might have been “teaming with water-loving birds” I suspect it was teeming with birds even more. 😉

    • Thanks and good catch! Correction made. 🙂

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